Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.241250 2.557339 2.902196 3.306416 3.767331 4.276650 4.882366
2025-08-31 1.760931 2.191796 2.703906 3.357693 4.170767 5.149556 6.418871
2025-09-07 1.466978 1.938321 2.532492 3.336973 4.399075 5.755353 7.622518
2025-09-14 1.246581 1.729702 2.368785 3.276814 4.535866 6.223417 8.663579
2025-09-21 1.089282 1.576952 2.249583 3.246128 4.688026 6.703687 9.745479
2025-09-28 0.958885 1.441875 2.133424 3.197121 4.796009 7.116977 10.756255
2025-10-05 0.922480 1.436340 2.197787 3.410050 5.297289 8.133462 12.740187
2025-10-12 0.845217 1.359028 2.144892 3.436443 5.513269 8.735865 14.143608
2025-10-19 0.799924 1.325533 2.153649 3.555829 5.880060 9.596497 16.026683
2025-10-26 0.731589 1.247070 2.082171 3.536348 6.016541 10.095899 17.360070
2025-11-02 0.673519 1.179300 2.020625 3.525117 6.161593 10.615807 18.767377
2025-11-09 0.612058 1.099372 1.930601 3.455125 6.196474 10.947544 19.871805
2025-11-16 0.571944 1.057194 1.908606 3.515209 6.489149 11.793404 22.053185
2025-11-23 0.533023 1.013939 1.881943 3.567216 6.778772 12.674027 24.417294
2025-11-30 0.488509 0.954984 1.819879 3.545309 6.925651 13.303116 26.368052
2025-12-07 0.443859 0.890690 1.740781 3.481366 6.983063 13.765347 28.038305
2025-12-14 0.407989 0.839605 1.681393 3.448752 7.096462 14.342906 29.993716
2025-12-21 0.373847 0.788263 1.616081 3.396667 7.163511 14.831877 31.814268
2025-12-28 0.371452 0.802129 1.682899 3.622973 7.828034 16.596867 36.501194
2026-01-04 0.349718 0.772672 1.657362 3.651025 8.074012 17.512567 39.450312
2026-01-11 0.338650 0.765094 1.676904 3.777913 8.546139 18.953140 43.707457
2026-01-18 0.315925 0.729270 1.631998 3.757208 8.687228 19.683725 46.430551
2026-01-25 0.295888 0.697479 1.592837 3.745271 8.846298 20.467919 49.357574